Part 3 is finally here! The Marlins are shedding payroll and trading players this offseason. Giancarlo Stanton was traded to the Yankees, Dee Gordon was sent to the Mariners, and Ozuna to the Cardinals. While most expect the Marlins to be rebuilding for the next few years, it is not impossible to field a competitive team with a low payroll. One example is the Brewers, the team with the lowest payroll of 2017, from earlier this year. By trading for players known to be available, or signing free agents, that are undervalued, the Marlins should be able to field a team projected to make the playoffs. In this post, we will discuss the results of our constrained optimization analysis. Catch up on the data and methods used in Parts 1 and 2.
REMEMBER: This analysis was initially performed in July, examining only players at the time that were on the Marlins roster, those who would be free agents in 2018 and anyone who was considered a trade target before the deadline in 2017.
We all know that the Marlins are shedding payroll and trading players this off-season. Giancarlo Stanton will most likely be traded to the Giants, Dodgers, or Cardinals. Dee Gordon was sent to the Mariners today, and Yelich and Ozuna will most likely be on the move before long. While most expect the Marlins to be rebuilding for the next few years, it is not impossible to field a competitive team with a low payroll. One example is the Brewers, the team with the lowest payroll of 2017, from earlier this year.
By trading for players known to be available, or signing free agents, that are undervalued, the Marlins should be able to field a team projected to make the playoffs. In this post, we will go into the methods used and the first results obtained from this analysis! Read more on the introduction and data used over in Part 1.
In case you have been distracted by recent NFL drama, NCAA upsets, or the start of the new NBA and NHL seasons, baseball has reached its apex of the 2017 season. The World Series begins tonight!
This World Series features the Houston Astros taking on the monolith that is the LA Dodgers. Both teams won over a 100 games in the regular season, a World Series meeting of which is 47 years in the making. Both teams feature at least one Cy Young winning pitcher. Both teams went undefeated at home during the postseason. The Dodgers have not won a title in 28 years. The Astros have never won a single World Series game, and are currently residing in the same ranks as two other teams, the Nationals and the Mariners. Yet, only one team will walk away as World Series champions. This has of the makings of a historic competition!
This week, we want to tell a story. A story of wastefulness, pride, and a team resting on its laurels after almost winning the World Series. The setting, North Texas. Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas is one of the largest ballparks in the country, with an attendance capacity of 49,115 fans. In 2012, the Texas Rangers had just come off of a second consecutive World Series appearance. However, they were still not achieving sell-outs of every game. In fact, in 2011, they did not have a single sold out game. This means that there was still room for improvement to try and draw more fans to their games. Unfortunately, either they assumed that back to back World Series appearances would be enough to draw fans or they did not believe in the power of giveaways.
The St. Louis Cardinals are not great this year. They were not great last year either. To the casual baseball fan, the fact that the Cardinals stood pat at the most recent trade deadline, then, is surprising. Why not selloff your best players for prospects to help you win in the future? While many gripe that this organization has been missing a certainty of direction for the last couple years, we wanted to look back at perhaps their largest trade of the last half decade, one that boosted them from greatness to new heights.