Now that most of the NBA teams have passed the halfway point of the season, we recalculated our end-of-season win total predictions and playoff probabilities. In truth, we don’t think that the second half of the season matters that much, in terms of playoff probability.
Since the top eight teams from each conference make the playoffs, the likelihood that even the top four teams in wins per conference at mid-season would fall out of the top eight at the end of the regular season is astronomically small. However, the second half does matter in terms of the teams fighting for the last couple of spots, as well as, of course, playoff seeding.
With the NBA back in action this week, we are launching our inaugural NBA Predictions to see how the league will shape out this season. While the Warriors are the obvious favorite to lead the the league in wins, since a majority of the league’s 30 teams make it to the playoffs, whether you agree with that or not, the battle for the last few seeds always goes down to the wire.
Here's how we generated our 2018-2019 NBA playoff and win predictions:
The 2017-2018 NBA season culminated in a final showdown between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors for the fourth year in a row. While predicting those two teams to make the final round of the playoffs was perhaps the easiest call ever made, we wanted to see if the other 14 teams that made a postseason berth could be predicted.
No statistic quite tells the whole story of a teams’ season like postseason odds, or the probability of making the playoffs. We love this stat, because when plotted over the course of an entire season, the hopes and dreams of an entire fan-base can be seen lifted up to unimaginable heights, or crushed into the nothingness that we all eventually become.
The average National Basketball Association franchise is now worth $1.36 billion, a 350 percent increase over the last five years. We took the time to perform an investment analysis on two teams valued below average for the NBA, the Milwaukee Bucks and the Orlando Magic, to look for any beneficial investment opportunities. We considered the asking price for the team, based off of recent valuations, anticipated revenues and expenses, thought of as cash inflows and outflows, as well as an investment horizon of five years.